It’s
apparent to any visitor to the stretch of California where the two Diablo
Canyon plants are sited that it is geologically hot. A major tourist feature of
the area: hot spas. “Welcome to the
Avila Hot Springs,” declares the website of one, noting how “historic Avila Hot
Springs” was “discovered in 1907 by at the time unlucky oil drillers and
established” as a “popular visitor-serving natural artesian mineral hot
springs.” www.avilahotsprings.com
Nevertheless,
Pacific Gas & Electric had no problem in 1965 picking the area along the
California coast, north of Avila Beach, as a location for two nuclear plants.
It
was known that the San Andreas Fault was inland 45 miles away. Then, in 1971,
with construction underway, oil company geologists discovered another
earthquake fault, the Hosgri Fault, just three miles out in the Pacific from
the plant site and linked to the San Andreas Fault.
In
2008 yet another fault was discovered, the Shoreline Fault—but 650 yards from
the Diablo Canyon plants.
The
Shoreline Fault, and concerns about the vulnerability of nuclear plants to
earthquakes in the wake of the 2011 Fukushima Daiichi disaster, are integral to
a 42-page report written by Dr. Michael Peck, for five years the lead inspector
on-site for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission at Diablo Canyon.
Peck’s
report was obtained by the Associated Press, which has done excellent journalism
in recent years investigating the dangers of nuclear power, and the AP issued a
story Monday on the report.
Peck writes: “The new seismic information resulted in a condition outside of the bounds of the existing Diablo Canyon design basis and safety analysis. Continued reactor operation outside the bounds of the NRC approved safety analyses challenges the presumption of nuclear safety.”
He
also states: “The Shoreline [Fault] Scenario results in SSC [acronym in the
nuclear field for Structures, Systems and Components] seismic stress beyond the
plant SSE [Safe Shutdown Earthquake] qualification basis. Exposure to higher
levels of stress results in an increase[d] likelihood of a malfunction of SSCs.
The change also increases the likelihood of a malfunction of SSCs important to
safety...”
Peck
notes that the “prevailing” NRC “staff view” is that “potential ground motions
from the Shoreline fault are at or below those levels for which the plant was
previously evaluated and demonstrated to have a ‘reasonable assurance of
safety.’”
He
disagrees and says that the NRC staff “also failed to address the Los Osos and
San Luis Bay faults,” faults that the Shoreline Fault are seen as potentially
interacting with, and that “new seismic information” concludes that “these
faults were also capable of producing ground motions”
Also,
he says: “The prevailing staff view that ‘operability’ may be demonstrated
independent of existing facility design basis and safety analyses requirements
establishes a new industry precedent. Power reactor licensees may apply this
precedent to other nonconforming and unanalyzed conditions.”
“What’s
striking about Peck’s analysis,” says the AP story, http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_NUCLEAR_REACTOR_EARTHQUAKES?SITE=MOCAP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT
“is that it comes from within the NRC itself,
and gives a rare look at a dispute within the agency. At issue are whether the
plant’s mechanical guts could survive a big jolt, and what yardsticks should be
used to measure the ability of the equipment to withstand the potentially
strong vibrations that could result.” http://www.ktvu.com/news/news/ap-exclusive-expert-calls-diablo-canyon-shutdown/ng8Tj/
The
AP story also says, “Environmentalists have long depicted Diablo Canyon—the
state’s last nuclear plant after the 2013 closure of the San Onofre reactors in
Southern California—as a nuclear catastrophe in waiting. In many ways, the
history of the plant, located halfway between Los Angeles and San
Francisco...and within 50 miles of 500,000 people, has been a costly fight
against nature, involving questions and repairs connected to its design and
structural strength.”
Calling
the Peck report “explosive,” the environmental group Friends of the Earth this
week described it as having been “kept secret for a year.”
Said
Damon Moglen, senior strategy advisor at Friends of the Earth,
"Inspector Peck is the canary in the coal mine, warning us of a possible
catastrophe at Diablo Canyon before it’s too late. We agree with him that
Diablo Canyon is vulnerable to earthquakes and must be shut down immediately.”
Moglen
said: “Given the overwhelming risk of earthquakes, federal and state
authorities would never allow nuclear reactors on this site now. Are PG&E
and the NRC putting the industry’s profits before the health and safety of
millions of Californians.”
“Rather
than the NRC keeping this a secret,” Moglen went on, “there must be a thorough
investigation with public hearings to determine whether these reactors can
operate safely.”
Peck
is still with the NRC, a trainer at its Technical Training Center in Chattanooga,
Tennessee.
Michael
Mariotte, president of the Nuclear Information & Resource Service, commented
Monday http://safeenergy.org/2014/08/25/former-top-nrc-inspector-says-shut-diablo-canyon/
that in “plain English” what Peck’s
report acknowledges is: “The NRC does not know whether Diablo Canyon could
survive an earthquake, within the realm of the possible, at any of the faults
around Diablo Canyon. And the reactors should shut down until the NRC does know
one way or the other. Of course, if the reactors cannot survive a postulated
earthquake, the obvious conclusion is that they must close permanently. The
question is whether the NRC will ever act on Peck’s recommendation or whether
the agency will continue to sit on it until after the next earthquake.”
Mariotte
also says: “The irony is that this should have been the big news a year ago;
Peck wrote his recommendation—in the form of a formal Differing Professional
Opionion—in July 2013. And the NRC still hasn’t taken action or even responded
to it.”
In
his report Peck also states that the NRC is supposed to be committed to a
“standard of safety” and “safety means avoiding undue risk or providing
reasonable assurance of adequate protection for the public.”
Meanwhile,
PG&E has not only been insisting that its Diablo Canyon plants are safe, despite
the earthquake threat, but has filed with the NRC to extend the 40 year
licenses given for their operations
another 20 years—to 2044 for Diablo Canyon 1 and to 2045 for Diablo
Canyon 2.
An
analysis http://www.ccnr.org/crac.html done in 1982 by
Sandia National Laboratories for the NRC, titled “Calculations for Reactor
Accident Consequences 2,” evaluated the impacts of a meltdown with “breach of
containment” at every nuclear plant in the U.S.—what happened at the Fukushima
Daiichi nuclear plants as a result of an earthquake. For the Diablo Canyon nuclear
plants, it projected 10,000 “peak early fatalities” for each of the plants and
$155 billion in property damages for Diablo Canyon 1 and $158 billion for
Diablo Canyon 2—in 1980 dollars.
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